Candid-Consensus
0x3d46f979683c42c3efa90c51c96ad65ae613954b
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$200.00
Total PnL
$-121.08
Realised
$-21.11
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$200.00
$98.00
- YES
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?
292 shares @ 50.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-147.97
- YES
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
200 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?$93.10Dec 9, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?$1.04Dec 9, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out by December 31, 2026?$18.45Dec 9, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out by December 31, 2026?$10.09Dec 9, 10:27 UTC
- TRADESELLMaduro out by March 31, 2026?$40.07Dec 9, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out by December 31, 2026?$25.26Dec 9, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out by December 31, 2026?$23.14Dec 9, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out by December 31, 2026?$25.07Dec 9, 10:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?$129.00Dec 1, 10:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?$0.83Nov 27, 00:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?$82.94Nov 24, 20:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?$83.13Nov 23, 12:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?$1.00Nov 23, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?$1.20Nov 20, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?$14.03Nov 20, 15:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?$29.00Nov 20, 14:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?$82.76Nov 20, 14:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?$0.18Nov 20, 11:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?$201.58Nov 18, 18:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?$5.58Nov 16, 23:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $55.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 14, 01:07 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 9, 20:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.