Putrid-Snap
0x3d4adb4a76d60141bef433e49040245486a0eaa3
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$20.62
Total PnL
$-143.97
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?
2 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.34
$0.14
- YES
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
2 shares @ 94.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.11
$0.11
- YES
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?
2 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.96
$0.16
- NO
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
2 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.80
$0.02
- YES
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
2 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.79
$0.29
- NO
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.76
$0.01
- NO
Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?
2 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.58
$0.02
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
2 shares @ 86.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.56
$0.21
- NO
Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?
2 shares @ 95.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.51
$0.06
- NO
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.46
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.34Dec 18, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.80Dec 18, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.78Dec 18, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.50Dec 18, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.35Dec 18, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.76Dec 18, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.56Dec 18, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.45Dec 18, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?$2.20Dec 18, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?$1.45Dec 18, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$2.00Dec 18, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the top AI model on December 31?$1.30Dec 18, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on December 19?$145.10Dec 18, 01:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model on October 31?$1.26Dec 17, 08:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $5400 in October?$1.54Dec 17, 08:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the best AI model on October 31?$2.00Dec 17, 08:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Z.ai have the best AI model on October 31?$3.01Dec 17, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $5400 in October?$1.54Oct 29, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model on October 31?$2.00Oct 29, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the best AI model on October 31?$3.00Oct 29, 13:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $7.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 02:49 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 18, 07:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.