Livid-Permafrost
0x3d618415e463e6cd12c7c8309dce86fc41bd0d2e
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$93.09
Total PnL
$-7.56
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
93 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$93.09
$0.09
- YES
Will "The Bride!" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 18m?
1150 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.30
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on December 27?
787 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.59
- YES
Will Mistral AI have the top AI model on September 30?
650 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.30
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 14?
290 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.16
- 49ERS
49ers vs. Buccaneers
3 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$93.00Jun 9, 09:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$93.09Jun 9, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$93.00Jun 2, 11:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets in May 2026?$93.09Jun 2, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets in May 2026?$93.00May 25, 06:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?$93.09May 25, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?$93.01May 21, 06:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 14?$93.09May 21, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 14?$93.00May 14, 06:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$39.08May 14, 06:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 10?$54.05May 14, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$39.00May 9, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 10?$54.00May 9, 08:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?$92.09May 9, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?$92.01May 5, 08:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on April 27?$92.09May 5, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on April 27?$92.00Apr 27, 10:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 24?$92.09Apr 27, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 24?$92.00Apr 24, 09:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 19?$92.09Apr 24, 09:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $85.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 2, 12:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 9, 09:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.