Thin-Deathwatch
0x3d61e3939d3796687fd98fe57f9402ffaaa83215
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-26.53
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will "Weapons" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $29m?
443 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 11, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will "Weapons" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $29m and $34m?
316 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 11, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- NO
Will MrBeast reach 450 million subscribers in 2025?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will "The Conjuring: Last Rites" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $52m?
154 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-2.15
- YES
Will 'Death Stranding 2: On the Beach' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will "Predator: Badlands" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 33m?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be less than 115m?
30 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 255 or more times July 18–25?
23 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
15 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 137m?
14 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill 'Death Stranding 2: On the Beach' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?$1.00Nov 20, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be less than 115m?$1.00Nov 20, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 137m?$1.00Nov 20, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Predator: Badlands" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 33m?$1.00Nov 8, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during the America Business Forum on November 5?$1.38Nov 3, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?$1.00Oct 31, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast reach 450 million subscribers in 2025?$1.00Oct 31, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Conjuring: Last Rites" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $52m?$1.15Sep 5, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Conjuring: Last Rites" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $52m?$1.00Sep 3, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Weapons" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $29m and $34m?$8.00Aug 8, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Weapons" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $29m?$2.00Aug 8, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Weapons" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $29m?$1.00Aug 8, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 255 or more times July 18–25?$1.00Jul 20, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "I Know What You Did Last Summer" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $16m?$1.00Jul 18, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$1.00Jul 17, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$1.00Jul 15, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "F1" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $55M?$1.00Jun 28, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Pittsburgh rally on May 30?$1.00May 30, 09:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ross Ulbricht say "A.I / Artificial Intelligence" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 29?$2.38May 30, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ross Ulbricht say "A.I / Artificial Intelligence" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 29?$1.00May 29, 20:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $1.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 29, 19:24 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 20, 17:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".