Made-Up-Asterisk
0x3d681dbb7c5573f51666659631fc860670cdbb2c
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$137.24
Total PnL
$-74.70
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- NO
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $200 in June?
137 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$137.24
$0.24
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?
1950 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-3.90
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
982 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.95
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 14?
928 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 8?
750 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 14?
743 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.71
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 14?
719 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.88
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 14?
708 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.83
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?
639 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 March 2-8?
501 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-3.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $200 in June?$137.01Jun 30, 08:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$12.01Jun 30, 07:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Noh Yeong-min win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?$13.21Jun 30, 07:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $70 in May?$111.22Jun 30, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $70 in May?$111.02May 31, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Noh Yeong-min win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?$13.20May 31, 05:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?$124.12May 31, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?$124.01May 30, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$12.00May 30, 07:55 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?$136.27May 30, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?$136.00May 30, 03:15 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: 9z vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs$6.67May 30, 03:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be 61°F or below on May 28?$12.77May 30, 03:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 28?$117.12May 30, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 28?$117.01May 28, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be 61°F or below on May 28?$12.74May 28, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: 9z vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs$3.65May 28, 03:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Traian Basescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$119.87May 28, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Traian Basescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$120.00May 28, 03:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$133.13May 28, 03:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $85.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 10:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 30, 08:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.