Outstanding-Secretariat
0x3d6a11936d1dfef0580a77c48a4b3a323b0a9e29
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
157
Open notional
$1.27
Total PnL
$-760.25
Realised
$5.10
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 157- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?
63 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.28
$-0.72
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $800B and $900B at market close on IPO day?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.25
$-0.75
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $700B and $800B at market close on IPO day?
134 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.20
$-0.80
- YES
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
49 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.17
$-3.83
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $500B and $600B at market close on IPO day?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.15
$-0.85
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.14
$-0.86
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $600B and $700B at market close on IPO day?
40 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.06
$-0.94
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?
47 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.02
$-2.98
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 25, 1PM ET
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the US strike Venezuela next?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?$2.00Mar 20, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on March 8, 2026?$10.00Mar 8, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on March 8, 2026?$1.00Mar 8, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?$3.00Mar 8, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Greater Beirut on March 9, 2026?$1.00Mar 8, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?$1.00Mar 8, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?$4.00Mar 8, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kuwait strike Iran by March 31?$5.00Mar 8, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar strike Iran by March 31?$5.00Mar 8, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?$5.00Mar 8, 11:00 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$49.90Mar 2, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$20.00Feb 28, 14:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?$20.00Feb 16, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on February 7, 2026?$1.82Feb 6, 13:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 1, 2026?$1.82Feb 1, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 1, 2026?$1.49Feb 1, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on February 1, 2026?$8.00Feb 1, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYMoltbook shutdown by Feb 28?$4.00Feb 1, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYMoltbook shutdown by Feb 28?$3.00Feb 1, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 3 days or more?$1.00Jan 31, 19:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $7.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 24, 18:49 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 20, 18:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".