Paltry-Batting
0x3d6d0a9bc54077dc674b2ba2af01ff41f0490a6c
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
59
Open notional
$582.91
Total PnL
$-4.0K
Realised
$2.6K
Win rate
94%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 59- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?
9399 shares @ 5.6¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$216.18
$-310.03
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?
4651 shares @ 12.4¢·now 4.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$201.87
$-377.09
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?
3139 shares @ 8.0¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$109.87
$-141.27
- NO
Will November be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?
28 shares @ 82.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$22.92
$0.14
- NO
Will October be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?
25 shares @ 86.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$20.44
$-0.87
- YES
Will July be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?
200 shares @ 7.0¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$8.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will September be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?
28 shares @ 6.6¢·now 13.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.63
$1.78
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in January?
111608 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-223.22
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?
70709 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in January?
70000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-88.83
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.04Jul 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 28, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 25, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 24, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 21, 20:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 19, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 16, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 10, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
39/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
94% win rate over 18 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
18 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.