Dual-Ephemera
0x3d6e4f3f613fb42647043d9ff4578775df85c66d
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$97.32
Total PnL
$-3.13
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
25 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$25.07
$0.08
- NO
Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?
20 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$20.10
$0.10
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?
20 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$20.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Solana reach $580 before 2026?
9 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$8.50
$0.05
- NO
Stable FDV above $6B one day after launch?
5 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.02
$0.02
- NO
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% in 2025?
4 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$4.05
$0.05
- NO
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% in 2025?
4 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$4.04
$0.04
- NO
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% in 2025?
4 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$4.02
$0.02
- YES
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
3 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$3.37
$0.37
- NO
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% in 2025?
3 shares @ 97.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.09
$0.09
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStable FDV above $6B one day after launch?$5.00Dec 8, 13:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Die With a Smile by Lady Gaga and Bruno Mars be the most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?$2.07Dec 8, 13:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill NUEVAYoL by Bad Bunny be the most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?$4.01Dec 8, 13:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Golden by HUNTR/X be the most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?$4.01Dec 8, 13:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$5.06Dec 8, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $580 before 2026?$8.45Nov 30, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?$20.00Nov 30, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?$20.00Nov 30, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?$25.00Nov 30, 11:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump’s approval rating be less than 40.5 on November 21 2025?$3.06Nov 30, 11:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump’s approval rating be between 40.5 and 40.9 on November 21 2025?$3.19Nov 30, 11:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Lebanon on November 17?$4.12Nov 30, 11:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dolby Laboratories (DLB) beat quarterly earnings?$4.26Nov 30, 11:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?$5.00Nov 30, 11:26 UTC
- REDEEMOver $140M committed to the Solomon public sale?$5.03Nov 30, 11:26 UTC
- REDEEMOver $120M committed to the Solomon public sale?$6.05Nov 30, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NUEVAYoL by Bad Bunny be the most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?$4.00Nov 18, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Golden by HUNTR/X be the most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?$4.00Nov 18, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Die With a Smile by Lady Gaga and Bruno Mars be the most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?$2.00Nov 18, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$5.00Nov 18, 09:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $6.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 18, 09:34 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 8, 13:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.