Wasteful-Monsoon-Farmer
0x3d7d0ba6c4cb6608e9b2ae9a7c6b4d822c6510fc
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$21.97
Total PnL
$-8.5K
Realised
$285.31
Win rate
36%
78 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1483 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.74
$-29.52
- YES
Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1483 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.74
$-29.52
- YES
Will Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1483 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.74
$-29.52
- YES
Will Roberto Chiabra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1483 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.74
$-29.52
- YES
Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1483 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.74
$-29.52
- YES
Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1483 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.74
$-29.52
- YES
Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1483 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.74
$-29.52
- YES
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1483 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.74
$-29.52
- YES
Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1483 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.74
$-29.52
- YES
Will José Luna win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1483 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.74
$-29.52
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy?$0.01Jun 14, 00:44 UTC
- REDEEMMorocco leading at halftime?$20.00Jun 14, 00:38 UTC
- REDEEMBrazil leading at halftime?$18.49Jun 14, 00:38 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 14?$22.67Jun 13, 23:53 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 14?$22.34Jun 13, 23:53 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 14?$22.99Jun 13, 23:53 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on June 14?$22.99Jun 13, 23:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 14?$0.04Jun 13, 23:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 14?$0.04Jun 13, 23:52 UTC
- CONVERSIONHighest temperature in Hong Kong on June 14?$22.99Jun 13, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on June 14?$22.87Jun 13, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 14?$22.60Jun 13, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 14?$17.37Jun 13, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 14?$16.11Jun 13, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 14?$12.70Jun 13, 23:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$10.93Jun 13, 22:37 UTC
- MERGEWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$50.84Jun 13, 22:36 UTC
- CONVERSIONBrazil vs. Morocco$50.85Jun 13, 22:36 UTC
- MERGEWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$196.15Jun 13, 22:36 UTC
- MERGEWill Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?$196.15Jun 13, 22:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $86.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 19:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 78 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.