Unruly-Stock
0x3d7e0adf319ad51e9825f07b50e7ed075a43ad97
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.7K
Realised
$21.39
Win rate
67%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on March 25?
813 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.63
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on March 22?
715 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-6.94
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 5°C or below on April 9?
685 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.64
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 18?
549 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-20.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on April 5?
519 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.08
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on March 22?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on April 17?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 16?
490 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-0.98
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 21?
400 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 15?
400 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.60
Recent activity
- REDEEMColorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres$100.00Jul 29, 05:19 UTC
- REDEEMBaltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigers$100.00Jul 29, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYColorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres$65.15Jul 28, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBoston Red Sox vs. Athletics$59.22Jul 28, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBaltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigers$58.23Jul 28, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYCleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds$60.21Jul 28, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giants$57.23Jul 27, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins$63.18Jul 27, 11:29 UTC
- REDEEMToronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox$100.00Jul 26, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYToronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox$58.23Jul 26, 08:11 UTC
- REDEEMArizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationals$100.00Jul 25, 22:59 UTC
- REDEEMToronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5$100.00Jul 25, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYToronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5$52.25Jul 25, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYToronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox$53.25Jul 25, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYArizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationals$59.22Jul 25, 11:28 UTC
- REDEEMToronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox$100.00Jul 25, 02:51 UTC
- REDEEMArizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationals$100.00Jul 25, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYToronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox$55.24Jul 24, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYArizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationals$55.24Jul 24, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies$58.23Jul 24, 13:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
36/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 15 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
15 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $58.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 10, 09:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 05:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.