Agitated-Confidence
0x3d89d258be272e8b4e31af642a152573919ad9ee
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$81.06
Total PnL
$2.06
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $145,000 in November?
25 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$25.30
$0.30
- NO
Will Russia capture Siversk by November 30?
13 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$13.33
$1.33
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?
12 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$12.21
$0.21
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 30% and 40% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?
9 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$9.28
$0.28
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
8 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$8.26
$0.26
- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 30?
8 shares @ 97.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$8.24
$0.24
- NO
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 21?
4 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$4.44
$0.44
- YES
Will Solana reach $270 in November?
45 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$8.00Nov 16, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?$12.00Nov 16, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 21?$4.00Nov 16, 21:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 47-48°F on November 13?$6.08Nov 16, 21:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15?$50.00Nov 16, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 30?$8.00Nov 14, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 47-48°F on November 13?$6.00Nov 13, 01:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on November 12?$13.42Nov 13, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15?$2.00Nov 11, 22:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $94,000 on November 11?$10.18Nov 11, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $270 in November?$1.00Nov 7, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $94,000 on November 11?$10.00Nov 7, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Siversk by November 30?$12.00Nov 7, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $145,000 in November?$25.00Nov 6, 15:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?$18.26Nov 6, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on November 12?$13.00Nov 4, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani get between 30% and 40% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?$9.00Nov 4, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?$18.00Nov 3, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $9.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 3, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 16, 22:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.