Grave-Spectacle
0x3d944256192afed6998d34d762e9cf735a76140b
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$59.19
Total PnL
$0.06
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $270 in November?$59.13Nov 26, 16:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $8000 in October?$59.13Nov 26, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $8000 in October?$59.07Oct 27, 01:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $8000 in September?$59.08Oct 27, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $8000 in September?$59.02Sep 25, 09:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $120k in April?$59.02Sep 25, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120k in April?$58.90Apr 21, 08:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 by March 31?$58.90Apr 21, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 by March 31?$58.84Mar 29, 06:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $5000 by February 28 2025?$58.84Mar 29, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $5000 by February 28 2025?$58.72Feb 17, 02:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$0.13Feb 14, 05:12 UTC
- TRADESELLLiverpool wins the Premier League?$0.14Feb 14, 05:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?$0.18Feb 14, 05:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum hit $6000 by February 28 2025?$58.27Feb 14, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $6000 by February 28 2025?$58.27Feb 10, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris be inaugurated?$58.27Feb 10, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris be inaugurated?$57.98Jan 6, 07:02 UTC
- REDEEMTether Insolvent in 2024?$57.98Jan 6, 07:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2025 NBA Finals?$3.0KJan 5, 13:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $334.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 26, 05:12 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 26, 16:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.