Crushing-Hypothesis
0x3d987054a41d7ead71b75fd651ea4b6e73ef3453
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-98.78
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
386 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-25.70
- UP
Solana Up or Down on September 15?
306 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
ECB rate cut in 2025?
149 shares @ 16.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will another company be the largest in the world by market cap on September 30?
88 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
US government shutdown in 2025?
65 shares @ 17.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-11.08
- UP
Solana Up or Down on September 17?
38 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- NO
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during September press conference?
24 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown in 2025?$11.08Sep 29, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYECB rate cut in 2025?$15.00Sep 28, 18:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Barcelona win on 2025-09-28?$26.09Sep 28, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona win on 2025-09-28?$13.90Sep 28, 17:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Sociedad win on 2025-09-13?$0.00Sep 27, 12:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Barcelona win on 2025-09-18?$13.89Sep 27, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona win on 2025-09-18?$5.14Sep 18, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during September press conference?$5.00Sep 17, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYECB rate cut in 2025?$5.00Sep 17, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on September 17?$11.00Sep 17, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on September 15?$20.00Sep 15, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Sociedad win on 2025-09-13?$8.25Sep 13, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Sociedad win on 2025-09-13?$0.50Sep 13, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Sociedad win on 2025-09-13?$0.50Sep 13, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Sociedad win on 2025-09-13?$0.59Sep 13, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Sociedad win on 2025-09-13?$0.17Sep 13, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYECB rate cut in 2025?$5.00Sep 13, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another company be the largest in the world by market cap on September 30?$1.00Sep 13, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$20.70Sep 13, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$5.00Sep 13, 14:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $8.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 13, 14:27 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 29, 15:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".