Silent-Differential
0x3d9d7df5abb8b16c5ed2220e7038cbdebad0b5fb
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-191.95
Realised
$-21.07
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February?
1472 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-60.61
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on March 18?
1324 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-9.73
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?
578 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-45.04
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
510 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-0.51
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?
500 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 2?
300 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-13.40
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 March 2-8?
252 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-3.22
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on March 18?
200 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in February?
180 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-8.48
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
100 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on March 18?$0.09Mar 18, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on March 18?$0.41Mar 18, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on March 18?$0.40Mar 18, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on March 18?$0.61Mar 18, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on March 18?$0.40Mar 18, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on March 18?$0.32Mar 18, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on March 18?$0.06Mar 18, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on March 18?$0.11Mar 18, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on March 18?$0.21Mar 18, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on March 18?$0.06Mar 18, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on March 18?$0.01Mar 18, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on March 18?$0.08Mar 18, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on March 18?$0.06Mar 18, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on March 18?$0.11Mar 18, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on March 18?$0.00Mar 18, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on March 18?$0.01Mar 18, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on March 18?$0.02Mar 18, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on March 18?$0.00Mar 18, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on March 18?$0.02Mar 18, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on March 18?$0.40Mar 18, 10:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 18, 08:11 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 18, 11:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.