Dependent-Swing
0x3d9f2b9054fbe0a21a63762e00112ae916db49e2
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$7.79
Total PnL
$-18.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
88 shares @ 11.1¢·now 8.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.79
$-1.98
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
5114 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-2.6K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
5106 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-2.6K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
5100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-2.5K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
2490 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
2457 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
2448 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
2446 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
2445 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
2443 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.77Mar 18, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$13.80Feb 2, 07:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 21m and 23m?$1.00Feb 2, 07:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.05Feb 2, 07:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?$1.06Feb 2, 07:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.67Feb 2, 07:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?$2.10Feb 2, 07:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?$2.15Feb 2, 07:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel or the US target Tehran?$203.00Feb 2, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$61.20Jan 12, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?$1.00Jan 12, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 21m and 23m?$1.00Jan 12, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?$1.00Jan 12, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?$2.00Jan 12, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?$1.00Jan 12, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.50Jan 12, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.00Jan 12, 07:29 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - January 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$0.00Jan 12, 07:14 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - January 12, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$0.00Jan 12, 07:14 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - January 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$4.92Jan 12, 06:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $22.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 23, 11:22 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 18, 03:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".