Buzzing-Diffuse
0x3da3958abf6ec9cbab635824447e5e0c24fc0fdc
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$321.46
Win rate
90%
30 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 39°F or below on December 10?
18241 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-45.84
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 50-51°F on November 29?
15915 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-91.06
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on December 7?
10000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-33.09
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 48-49°F on January 23?
5208 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-26.97
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 33-34°F on December 2?
3641 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-8.13
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 58°F or higher on October 23?
3185 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-32.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 45-46°F on November 27?
3043 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-102.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 37-38°F on December 2?
3034 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-57.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 38-39°F on January 28?
3020 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-29.49
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 61°F or below on October 2?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 2, 2025$0.00
$-3.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C or below on July 29?$2.00Jul 28, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C or below on July 29?$0.37Jul 28, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C or below on July 29?$0.23Jul 28, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C or below on July 29?$1.00Jul 28, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C or below on July 29?$0.02Jul 28, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C or below on July 29?$2.67Jul 28, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C or below on July 29?$0.94Jul 28, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on July 29?$13.49Jul 28, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C or below on July 29?$0.40Jul 28, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 29?$1.69Jul 27, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 29?$0.12Jul 27, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on July 28?$0.19Jul 27, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 29?$3.72Jul 27, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be 87°F or below on July 27?$0.10Jul 27, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on July 28?$1.30Jul 27, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on July 28?$2.92Jul 27, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on July 28?$1.88Jul 27, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C or higher on July 28?$0.57Jul 27, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on July 28?$1.98Jul 27, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on July 28?$2.50Jul 27, 07:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
74/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
90% win rate over 30 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 23/100.
30 closed markets, 90% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $1.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 25, 18:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 09:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 30 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.