Naive-Lysine
0x3da42b536228609fb08ade822beb0aa94b9214b2
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$21.43
Total PnL
$-6.57
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Democratic sweep?
12 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$12.35
$2.35
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on November 4?
4 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$4.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?
3 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.98
$0.98
- NO
North Korea x South Korea military clash by December 31?
1 shares @ 95.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.05
$0.05
- NO
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $124,000 on November 4?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Iran strike on Israel by Monday?
7 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Iran strike on Israel by Friday?
4 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
US military action against Iran before July?
3 shares @ 77.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on November 4?$499.50Nov 4, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorth Korea x South Korea military clash by December 31?$1.00Nov 4, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?$1.00Nov 4, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on November 4?$503.50Nov 4, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $124,000 on November 4?$3.00Nov 4, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocratic sweep?$10.00Nov 4, 00:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nvidia have a #1 AI model this year?$2.05Nov 4, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran strike on Israel by Monday?$2.00Jun 13, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?$2.00Jun 13, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS military action against Iran before July?$2.00Jun 13, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran strike on Israel by Friday?$2.00Jun 13, 08:38 UTC
- REDEEMNewcastle United wins the Premier League?$1.01Jun 13, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill GPT-5 be released by March 31?$1.02Jun 13, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$1.08Jun 13, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Chinese AI model become #1 before April? $1.11Jun 13, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the top AI model on April 30?$1.33Jun 13, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMDeepSeek better than all OpenAI models before June?$2.07Jun 13, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nvidia have a #1 AI model this year?$2.00Mar 14, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.00Mar 14, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the top AI model on April 30?$1.00Mar 14, 10:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $27.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 20, 02:26 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 4, 09:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".