Coarse-Marble
0x3da59eeb18be8b2f868ea3fd6d69ba67732e7cbc
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-205.86
Realised
$-158.90
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Thailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?
14333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-40.96
- NO
Will federal spending decrease by less than $250b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?
144 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $118K and $119K on July 30 at 5PM ET?
101 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Erdogan repeal presidential term limits?
59 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Nothing Ever Happens: July
40 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down - July 31, 3PM ET
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Grok have a MacOS desktop app live by December 31?$2.99Aug 1, 22:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$9.95Aug 1, 22:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump issue 14–16 executive orders in July?$1.00Aug 1, 22:45 UTC
- TRADESELLTaylor Swift pregnant in 2025?$0.55Aug 1, 22:45 UTC
- TRADESELLZelensky resigns in 2025?$2.06Aug 1, 22:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBayrou out as French PM in 2025?$2.06Aug 1, 22:44 UTC
- TRADESELLZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by October 31?$5.16Aug 1, 22:44 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine hits Moscow by July 31?$11.15Aug 1, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$10.00Aug 1, 22:38 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Syria by July 31?$1.05Aug 1, 22:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump sign an executive order on July 31?$2.02Aug 1, 22:26 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum outperforms Bitcoin on July 31?$2.04Aug 1, 22:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3PM ET$2.08Aug 1, 22:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump issue a Gold Card before August?$5.00Aug 1, 22:26 UTC
- REDEEMAnother Israel strike on Yemen by July 31?$6.15Aug 1, 22:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump lower tariffs on Canada by July 31?$20.22Aug 1, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 31, 3PM ET$1.00Jul 31, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3PM ET$2.00Jul 31, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother Israel strike on Yemen by July 31?$5.00Jul 31, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump issue a Gold Card before August?$5.00Jul 31, 19:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $6.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 30, 20:32 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 1, 22:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".