Fatal-Change
0x3da8b5a1791d5262f9dc5ddd25f2cef15a2b1290
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$5.18
Total PnL
$-2.67
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?
3 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$3.16
$0.16
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
2 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$2.03
$0.03
- NO
Will there be a US Government shutdown?
115 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-0.23
- YES
Will Joe Burrow be the top Fantasy Quarterback?
60 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-0.30
- YES
Will Bo Nix win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?
25 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2025$0.00
$-0.32
- YES
Ethereum above $3,400 on December 27?
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?$1.00Jan 6, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?$3.00Jan 6, 04:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?$2.01Jan 6, 04:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?$2.01Jan 6, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a US Government shutdown? $0.12Dec 24, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a US Government shutdown? $0.11Dec 24, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bo Nix win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?$0.32Dec 24, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joe Burrow be the top Fantasy Quarterback?$0.30Dec 24, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $3,400 on December 27?$1.00Dec 24, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?$2.00Dec 24, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$2.00Dec 24, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?$2.00Dec 24, 09:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $1.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 24, 09:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 6, 04:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".