Soft-Conformation
0x3db3faf5c883fc77f34caea176868513b8a23aa5
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-238.07
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on February 5?
300 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-105.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?
150 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-16.63
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?
150 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-16.63
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?
150 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-16.63
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?
150 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-16.63
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?
150 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-16.63
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?
150 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-16.63
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?
150 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-16.63
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?
150 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-16.63
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 19°C or below on March 28?$390.68Apr 27, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 19°C or below on March 28?$389.51Mar 27, 09:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?$150.00Mar 23, 08:29 UTC
- CONVERSIONElon Musk # tweets March 7 - March 9, 2026?$150.00Mar 9, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?$149.70Mar 9, 07:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 5?$299.40Mar 5, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 5?$299.10Mar 5, 10:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 5?$318.40Mar 5, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 5?$318.08Mar 5, 03:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 6?$378.86Mar 5, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 6?$79.68Mar 5, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 6?$298.80Mar 5, 02:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 4?$0.11Mar 5, 01:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 4?$388.10Mar 5, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 4?$386.94Mar 4, 09:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 4?$3.07Mar 4, 07:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 4?$8.00Mar 4, 07:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 4?$8.84Mar 4, 07:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 4?$8.02Mar 4, 07:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 4?$8.01Mar 4, 07:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $123.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 5, 09:05 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 09:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".