Impolite-Buy
0x3db557a51b6cb3ba7ec59e09560c0c473c3be688
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
56
Open notional
$7.59
Total PnL
$-245.83
Realised
$-0.95
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 56- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?
8 shares @ 40.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$7.59
$4.55
- WARRIORS
Warriors vs. Thunder
74 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-10.35
- OVER
Athletic Club vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5
51 shares @ 36.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-18.39
- OVER
PSV vs. AZ: O/U 3.5
40 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-8.40
- YES
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?
36 shares @ 41.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- WIZARDS
Wizards vs. Heat
30 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.99
- MAVERICKS
Mavericks vs. Hawks
27 shares @ 21.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.99
- OVER
Celtics vs. Cavaliers: O/U 223.5
25 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- PACERS
Pacers vs. Kings
22 shares @ 40.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- 76ERS
76ers vs. Cavaliers
21 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$5.79Mar 11, 04:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$5.79Mar 11, 04:49 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$5.79Mar 11, 04:49 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$5.91Mar 11, 04:49 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$5.91Mar 11, 04:49 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$6.00Mar 11, 04:49 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$6.00Mar 11, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYPacers vs. Kings$3.00Mar 10, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYPacers vs. Kings$3.00Mar 10, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$3.00Mar 10, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$0.23Mar 10, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$2.76Mar 10, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$3.00Mar 10, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$3.00Mar 10, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$3.00Mar 10, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$3.00Mar 10, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$2.99Mar 10, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$2.17Mar 10, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$0.83Mar 10, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$3.00Mar 10, 22:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
27/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
20% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $2.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 10, 21:10 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 11, 04:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.