Late-Tool-Appeal
0x3dbd3300c29669f607bdf9f50db750070f441939
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$74.69
Total PnL
$-18.90
Realised
$-0.46
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
17 shares @ 86.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.78
$0.78
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
18 shares @ 56.7¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.09
$2.09
- NO
Will The Democrats win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
10 shares @ 99.2¢·now 98.3¢·exp Oct 27, 2026$9.91
$-0.09
- NO
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
6 shares @ 99.9¢·now 92.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2026$5.59
$-0.48
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
22 shares @ 23.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$5.54
$0.54
- NO
Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?
6 shares @ 79.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.09
$0.09
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
5 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$5.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Luxembourg come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?
5 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 16, 2026$5.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Switzerland come in 3rd place at Eurovision 2026?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 16, 2026$5.00
$-0.00
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
31 shares @ 16.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$4.84
$-0.16
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?$0.04May 15, 13:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?$3.29May 15, 13:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$0.09May 15, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?$5.05May 15, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?$5.05May 15, 12:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$0.03May 15, 11:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$0.03May 15, 11:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$0.03May 15, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$0.11May 15, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$0.19May 15, 11:06 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$0.01May 15, 10:32 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$0.01May 15, 10:32 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$0.01May 15, 10:32 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$0.01May 15, 10:32 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$0.01May 15, 10:32 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$0.01May 15, 10:32 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$0.01May 15, 10:32 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$0.01May 15, 10:32 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$0.01May 15, 10:32 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$0.01May 15, 10:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 22:46 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 13:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".