Fatherly-Segment
0x3dcf64693857412148f78a7204a9abd968780ebe
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$1.6K
Total PnL
$-9.7K
Realised
$-714.13
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
1689 shares @ 80.0¢·now 93.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.6K
$233.88
- NO
Israel military action against Iraq before November?
71504 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2024$0.00
$-286.01
- NO
Trump wins every swing state?
34714 shares @ 15.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-5.4K
- NO
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00–1.04ºC in July 2025?
6500 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-195.00
- YES
Was JFK assassination an inside job?
5000 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Winning candidate also wins popular vote?
2296 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-20.99
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
1928 shares @ 38.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-750.00
- YES
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, D Senate, R House
1666 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
1500 shares @ 32.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-490.50
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
1173 shares @ 62.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-730.77
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$1.4KJan 19, 20:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's public ticker be $X?$1.4KJan 19, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $X?$1.7KDec 16, 15:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?$1.2KDec 16, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?$1000.00Nov 24, 17:24 UTC
- TRADESELLUS recession in 2025?$478.50Nov 19, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?$86.21Nov 19, 19:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$1.0KOct 29, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$517.09Oct 22, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$19.00Oct 22, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$19.00Oct 22, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$18.54Oct 22, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$1.2KOct 22, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYLisa Cook out as Fed Governor by October 31?$25.21Oct 1, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYLisa Cook out as Fed Governor by October 31?$6.52Oct 1, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYLisa Cook out as Fed Governor by October 31?$2.27Oct 1, 05:24 UTC
- REDEEMLord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?$500.00Oct 1, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYLord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?$225.00Aug 26, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYLisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?$68.00Aug 26, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.00–1.04ºC in July 2025?$195.00Aug 7, 00:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $341.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 5, 01:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 19, 20:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".