Thorough-Commandment
0x3dddcd47460f58492e8691428a19cac6bbed60ed
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-33.45
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Germany win Eurovision 2025?
3700 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-18.50
- YES
Will Germany finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?
285 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-6.55
- YES
Will Germany finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?
40 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-8.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win Eurovision 2025?$6.00May 17, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win Eurovision 2025?$7.50May 17, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?$2.21May 17, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?$4.34May 17, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?$8.40May 17, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win Eurovision 2025?$5.00May 17, 08:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the AfD win between 20% and 22% of the vote in the German election?$89.73Feb 28, 13:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill CDU/CSU win more seats than SPD and Greens?$32.28Feb 26, 08:32 UTC
- REDEEMAP calls Michigan by 8:00 AM Nov 6? $0.00Feb 24, 09:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?$0.00Feb 24, 09:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Republican candidate win Iowa by 2.0-3.0%? $0.00Feb 24, 09:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.00Feb 24, 09:17 UTC
- TRADESELLFDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election? $0.50Feb 23, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYFDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election? $2.00Feb 23, 20:58 UTC
- TRADESELLBSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election? $12.98Feb 23, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election? $12.00Feb 23, 20:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the SPD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election?$0.68Feb 23, 20:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CDU/CSU win more seats than SPD and Greens?$5.69Feb 23, 18:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the CDU/CSU win 30-35% of the vote in the German election?$35.20Feb 23, 17:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the CDU/CSU win 30-35% of the vote in the German election?$8.28Feb 23, 17:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $28.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 5, 13:21 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 18:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".