Incomplete-Cigarette
0x3de68426cf23b1c7c046538464d2ef1e4063afec
Wallet digest
Activity score
38/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-787.17
Realised
$-58.10
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- NO
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?
3256 shares @ 15.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-503.94
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
2002 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?
2000 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-140.00
- NO
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by December 31?
1744 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-21.18
- YES
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 21 2025?
1184 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-14.40
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
1090 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.09
- YES
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 22 2025?
677 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-6.09
- NO
Will Keir Starmer say "Emergency" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
520 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-5.20
- YES
Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Raphinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
100 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.90
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$0.05Dec 16, 21:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$3.20Dec 16, 21:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin hard fork before 2026?$6.16Dec 16, 21:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Base launch a token in 2025?$9.94Dec 16, 21:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?$105.41Dec 16, 21:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill XRP reach $3.20 before 2026?$22.70Dec 16, 21:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?$119.40Dec 16, 21:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?$40.00Dec 5, 11:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?$0.00Nov 20, 21:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gemini 3.0 be released on November 17 2025?$0.00Nov 20, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?$33.84Nov 20, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?$5.08Nov 20, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $3.20 before 2026?$21.16Nov 20, 16:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$6.50Nov 20, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$1.31Nov 19, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$0.07Nov 19, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$0.02Nov 19, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$0.61Nov 19, 20:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jorge Nelson Ávila Gutiérrez win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$0.14Nov 19, 15:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jorge Nelson Ávila Gutiérrez win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$0.26Nov 19, 15:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $9.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 18, 23:17 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 16, 21:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.