Watchful-Speakerphone
0x3dea0efd80e3748c8d60fb1abbe569193ff026d5
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
39
Open notional
$195.96
Total PnL
$-26.04
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- NO
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?
100 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$100.05
$0.05
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 3?
41 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$40.92
$-0.08
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
14 shares @ 70.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$13.57
$3.57
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
11 shares @ 93.0¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$10.55
$0.55
- VALENCIA
Valencia vs. Bilbao Basket
12 shares @ 83.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$10.00
$0.00
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
14 shares @ 74.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.80
$-0.20
- MONACO
Monaco vs. Nanterre
7 shares @ 71.6¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$4.85
$-0.15
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on June 4?
433 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$2.17
$1.17
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 3?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$1.07
$0.07
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 4?
102 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.6¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.61
$-0.39
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on June 4?$1.05Jun 2, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 4?$1.05Jun 2, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 3?$41.00Jun 2, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 3?$1.07Jun 2, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 3?$1.07Jun 2, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$100.01Jun 2, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$1.05Jun 2, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$1.05Jun 2, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$1.05Jun 2, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYValencia vs. Bilbao Basket$10.05Jun 2, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYMonaco vs. Nanterre$5.04Jun 2, 19:50 UTC
- REWARD$1.31May 30, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$162.50May 29, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$169.00May 29, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 27?$1.07May 27, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 27?$1.07May 27, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?$1.07May 27, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 27?$1.07May 27, 12:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-17?$6.94May 18, 17:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?$8.20May 18, 17:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $23.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 11:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 19:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".