Probable-Astrakhan
0x3debeaccf570480b3f929e5c0930f241e85e72aa
Wallet digest
Activity score
44/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$22.78
Total PnL
$-6.20
Realised
$-3.43
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $200k in October?
8 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$8.02
$0.02
- NO
Will OpenAI launch a token in 2025?
3 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.07
$0.07
- NO
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
3 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$2.99
$0.09
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
3 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.86
$0.09
- NO
Netanyahu out by 2025?
2 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.89
$0.09
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $150k in October?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$1.67
$0.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on October 29?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$1.28
$0.01
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,200 on October 29?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Tanya Plibersek be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the candidate from the New Future Party win the South Korean Presidential Election
50 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2025$0.00
$-0.10
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Oct 30, 00:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ali Khamenei be the first leader out in 2025?$0.00Oct 29, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$1.00Oct 29, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on October 29?$1.27Oct 29, 14:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $135k in October?$6.05Oct 29, 14:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$607.38Oct 29, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $4,200 on October 29?$1.00Oct 29, 14:05 UTC
- TRADESELLPutin out as President of Russia in 2025?$6.04Oct 29, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$608.00Oct 29, 14:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?$611.38Oct 28, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?$612.00Oct 28, 17:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on October 26?$1.90Oct 28, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150k in October?$1.67Oct 28, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on October 26?$1.90Oct 25, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $135k in October?$6.00Oct 25, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $200k in October?$8.00Oct 25, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? $2.90Oct 16, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia in 2025?$6.00Oct 16, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI launch a token in 2025?$3.00Oct 16, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by 2025?$1.80Oct 16, 16:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $65.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 29, 11:33 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 30, 00:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".