Envious-Persimmon
0x3df08a35d5774540e0620d6a2591a85964ff7791
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
66
Open notional
$7.74
Total PnL
$-874.28
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 66- YES
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
251 shares @ 2.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$5.26
$0.26
- YES
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
550 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.48
$-7.52
- YES
Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Saturday?
76000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2025$0.00
$-76.00
- YES
Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
8610 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-29.99
- YES
Will Kylian Mbappe win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
3333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Mohamed Salah win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
2612 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during October press conference?
1477 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Vitinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
1220 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Nobel" or "Peace Prize" during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?
1184 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Was Kanye hacked?
1125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$10.84Mar 4, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.00Mar 4, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$5.00Mar 4, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$10.00Mar 4, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?$6.99Mar 4, 16:20 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$37.83Mar 4, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$13.62Jan 8, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$50.00Jan 8, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$20.00Jan 3, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" while addressing the nation on December 17?$20.00Dec 17, 12:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in November?$32.26Dec 1, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?$10.00Nov 29, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$5.00Nov 25, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$10.00Nov 25, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in November?$10.00Nov 25, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in November 2025?$10.00Nov 25, 10:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in October 2025?$63.81Nov 1, 11:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Mandate" 6+ times during October press conference?$52.55Oct 30, 09:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Update" during October press conference?$0.00Oct 29, 22:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Trump" during October press conference?$0.00Oct 29, 22:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $11.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 20, 08:19 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 4, 16:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".