Wallet digest

active

Activity score

59/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$6.39

Total PnL

$-24.5K

Realised

$0.00

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 79

NO
Will the US next strike Iran on January 15, 2026 (ET)?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026
$1.15
$0.15
NO
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026
$1.10
$0.10
NO
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 26?
1 shares @ 94.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025
$1.05
$0.05
NO
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 8?
1 shares @ 96.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026
$1.03
$0.03
NO
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
1 shares @ 97.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025
$1.03
$0.03
NO
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?
1 shares @ 98.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026
$1.02
$0.02
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
1960 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025
$0.00
$-980.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
1000 shares @ 51.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025
$0.00
$-512.53
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025
$0.00
$-500.00
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 19, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025
$0.00
$-500.00

Recent activity

TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on January 15, 2026 (ET)?$1.00Jan 15, 03:04 UTC
TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?$1.00Jan 11, 05:10 UTC
TRADEBUYAnother US strike on Venezuela on January 8?$1.00Jan 4, 07:52 UTC
REDEEMThailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 15?$1.00Dec 26, 04:46 UTC
REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 13?$1.01Dec 26, 04:46 UTC
TRADEBUYWill the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 26?$1.00Dec 26, 04:45 UTC
TRADEBUYThailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 15?$1.00Dec 15, 01:04 UTC
TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 13?$1.00Dec 12, 04:59 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$0.00Dec 12, 04:50 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$2.0KDec 12, 04:50 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$1.0KDec 12, 04:02 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$500.00Dec 12, 04:01 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$500.00Dec 12, 03:15 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$250.00Dec 12, 02:53 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$223.50Dec 12, 02:53 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$26.50Dec 12, 02:53 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$500.00Dec 12, 02:52 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$250.00Dec 12, 01:56 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$15.00Dec 12, 01:55 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$235.00Dec 12, 01:55 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity39 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence0 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry89 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk62 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 37
Avg trade size: $162.32
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Dec 11, 03:39 UTC
Last active: Jan 15, 03:04 UTC
Win rate sample: 0 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

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updated 19:22:01 UTC·src:Polymarket Data