Burly-Probability
0x3df855f1eeda7e33841065af22ec85e5225aa696
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
38
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-139.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- NO
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
260605 shares @ 19.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-50.1K
- CANUCKS
Sabres vs. Canucks
18522 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-10.0K
- OVER
Games Total: O/U 4.5
18200 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-6.9K
- FURIA
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)
10000 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-2.1K
- YES
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?
9100 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-2.7K
- VITALITY
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO1)
8000 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-4.5K
- TRAIL BLAZERS
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans
7400 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-4.5K
- UNDER
FC Bayern München vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5
6500 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
- NO
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?
6300 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-3.6K
- JETS
Bruins vs. Jets
6100 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-3.5K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$14.3KDec 29, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$992.97Dec 29, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$3.37Dec 29, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$92.00Dec 29, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$0.20Dec 29, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$259.03Dec 29, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$1.2KDec 27, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$0.15Dec 27, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$0.15Dec 27, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$5.30Dec 27, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$0.15Dec 27, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$24.63Dec 27, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$0.15Dec 27, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$0.15Dec 27, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$1.13Dec 27, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$0.08Dec 27, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$0.15Dec 27, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$0.15Dec 27, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$0.15Dec 27, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$4.04Dec 27, 08:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $346.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 27, 06:55 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 29, 23:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".