Wallet digest

active

Activity score

50/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-2.1K

Realised

$49.43

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 20

NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
3934 shares @ 23.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025
$0.00
$-920.00
YES
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
1620 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026
$0.00
$-79.80
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
394 shares @ 25.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025
$0.00
$-100.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
323 shares @ 61.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025
$0.00
$-200.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
251 shares @ 47.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025
$0.00
$-120.00
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 29, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
247 shares @ 22.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025
$0.00
$-56.68
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
237 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025
$0.00
$-20.00
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 29, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
230 shares @ 43.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025
$0.00
$-100.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
228 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025
$0.00
$-11.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
201 shares @ 68.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025
$0.00
$-137.00

Recent activity

TRADESELLXRP Up or Down - December 5, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$100.00Dec 5, 18:53 UTC
TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - December 5, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$100.00Dec 5, 18:30 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$73.56Dec 5, 18:21 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$40.00Dec 5, 18:15 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$20.00Nov 30, 05:03 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$100.00Nov 30, 04:52 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$99.43Nov 30, 04:51 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$100.00Nov 30, 04:46 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$99.00Nov 30, 04:44 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$40.00Nov 30, 04:36 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$380.76Nov 30, 04:30 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$3.56Nov 30, 04:27 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$10.00Nov 30, 04:26 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$200.00Nov 30, 04:16 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$100.00Nov 30, 03:53 UTC
TRADESELLWill Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?$10.25Nov 30, 03:51 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$40.00Nov 29, 22:51 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$212.50Nov 29, 22:45 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$7.00Nov 29, 22:40 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$4.00Nov 29, 22:40 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity41 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence7 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry45 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk56 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 42
Avg trade size: $96.97
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Oct 23, 20:45 UTC
Last active: Dec 5, 18:53 UTC
Win rate sample: 2 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 08:42:16 UTC·src:Polymarket Data