Light-Onset
0x3e00471e6fb4ae22969cfbf01786042c682d6228
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$156.71
Total PnL
$17.71
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Paul Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
30 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2025$29.85
$9.85
- YES
Will Alassane Ouattara win the 2025 Ivory Coast presidential election?
27 shares @ 73.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$27.16
$7.16
- YES
Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
27 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$26.67
$6.67
- NO
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
19 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$19.23
$4.23
- NO
Will Ghislaine Maxwell testify before Congress in 2025?
16 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$15.87
$5.87
- NO
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?
14 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$14.29
$4.29
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
13 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$13.16
$3.16
- NO
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
12 shares @ 82.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.49
$0.49
- YES
Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?
34 shares @ 41.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 29, 2025$0.00
$-14.00
- NO
Will Trump mention "South Park" by Sunday?
16 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?$15.00Aug 30, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?$14.00Aug 30, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump mention "South Park" by Sunday?$10.00Jul 25, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?$10.00Jul 25, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ghislaine Maxwell testify before Congress in 2025?$10.00Jul 25, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?$10.00Jul 25, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?$10.00Jul 25, 15:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. agree to a trade deal with India before July?$0.00Jul 6, 05:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$0.00Jul 6, 05:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the candidate from the Democratic Party (DPK) win the South Korean Presidential Election?$23.81Jun 24, 19:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?$27.03Jun 24, 19:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$0.00Jun 2, 18:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump issue a Gold Card before June?$23.90Jun 2, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$20.00May 24, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paul Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?$20.00May 24, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alassane Ouattara win the 2025 Ivory Coast presidential election?$20.00May 24, 08:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?$20.86May 24, 08:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Luís Montenegro be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the 2025 election?$20.92May 24, 08:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Democratic Alliance win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?$22.47May 19, 20:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?$0.00May 19, 20:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $16.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 2, 09:42 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 30, 06:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.