Diligent-Percentage
0x3e0304fb8648b594f6e33eb81f381d66d080e739
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$0.02
Win rate
43%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
895 shares @ 52.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 21, 2025$0.00
$-470.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
420 shares @ 52.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 21, 2025$0.00
$-220.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
365 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.36
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
293 shares @ 48.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 21, 2025$0.00
$-142.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
160 shares @ 50.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-80.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
155 shares @ 50.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-79.17
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
112 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-57.20
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
112 shares @ 51.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-57.20
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
108 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-57.20
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
106 shares @ 53.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-57.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$1.03Jul 22, 04:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$2.00Jul 22, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$1.03Jul 22, 03:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$52.36Jul 22, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$29.71Jul 22, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$13.22Jul 22, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$5.89Jul 22, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$2.59Jul 22, 02:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$1.42Jul 22, 02:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$2.15Jul 22, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$2.59Jul 22, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$1.04Jul 22, 02:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$1.90Jul 22, 01:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$0.16Jul 22, 01:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$25.88Jul 22, 01:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$23.45Jul 22, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$29.74Jul 22, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$13.21Jul 22, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$5.89Jul 22, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$2.59Jul 22, 00:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
36/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
43% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $7.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 11:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 04:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.