Concerned-Bottom
0x3e054b991f23330c412c26153fba03a7526e32d8
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$363.35
Total PnL
$-126.65
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?
113 shares @ 88.9¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$110.10
$10.10
- NO
Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by June 30?
101 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$100.13
$0.13
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
60 shares @ 84.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$53.87
$3.87
- CANADA
Spread: Canada (-1.5)
99 shares @ 50.5¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$50.99
$0.99
- NO
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
27 shares @ 73.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$27.15
$7.15
- NO
Will Z.ai have a #1 AI model by June 30?
21 shares @ 94.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$21.11
$1.11
- YES
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?
152 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?
93 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- SWITZERLAND
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)
86 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$142.86Jun 11, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$50.69Jun 10, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia win on 2026-06-11?$51.00Jun 10, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$100.90Jun 10, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Switzerland (-1.5)$50.63Jun 9, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Canada (-1.5)$50.74Jun 9, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?$100.78Jun 5, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mistral have a #1 AI model by June 30?$100.02Jun 5, 21:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$51.70Jun 3, 07:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$101.51Jun 3, 07:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 1, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 31, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 30, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 29, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 28, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 26, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $72.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 28, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 23:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.