Lustrous-Lily
0x3e0c94d1e157037afe5fe9de9ab1c8b3c75d7899
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
37
Open notional
$146.05
Total PnL
$-6.8K
Realised
$-37.38
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
1755 shares @ 20.2¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$95.67
$-258.97
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
1031 shares @ 9.7¢·now 4.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$40.72
$-59.28
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
920 shares @ 5.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.66
$-36.34
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
38855 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.2K
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
12104 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-401.95
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
6558 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
5556 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-99.99
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
5544 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-498.99
- YES
Will Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Unbelievable" or "Fantastic" or "Incredible" 10+ times during Panthers visit?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$46.00May 8, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$104.51May 8, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$499.00Mar 24, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$150.00Mar 24, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by March 31?$150.00Mar 24, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?$99.92Mar 24, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$100.00Mar 13, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYCongress passes Iran war powers resolution by March 31?$51.00Mar 13, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by March 13?$100.00Mar 10, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$100.00Mar 10, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$150.00Mar 10, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$100.00Mar 10, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$190.00Mar 10, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$200.00Mar 10, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$200.00Mar 10, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by March 13?$100.00Mar 9, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by March 13?$150.00Mar 9, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$200.00Mar 9, 12:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$1.4KMar 9, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?$80.00Mar 2, 01:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $198.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 3, 22:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 8, 12:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.