Tricky-Dredger
0x3e0e8af4b46064cc39abb7dfe3418950c5858110
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-269.12
Realised
$-6.30
Win rate
0%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
1200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- DOWN
BNB Up or Down - July 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
1200 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-15.80
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
300 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-12.97
- UP
BNB Up or Down - July 3, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
133 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-13.13
- UP
BNB Up or Down - July 3, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
63 shares @ 19.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-12.44
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on July 2?
45 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-30.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 6?
30 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 3?
29 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-14.99
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on July 3?
28 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 6?
28 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on July 6?$20.50Jul 7, 09:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 10°C on July 6?$25.90Jul 7, 03:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on July 6?$22.10Jul 6, 22:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 6?$25.90Jul 6, 16:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 6?$26.30Jul 6, 15:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 6?$24.60Jul 6, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on July 6?$15.29Jul 5, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on July 6?$15.38Jul 5, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on July 6?$15.27Jul 5, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 6?$15.35Jul 5, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 6?$15.38Jul 5, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on July 6?$15.24Jul 5, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 6?$15.31Jul 5, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 6?$15.30Jul 5, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 6?$15.49Jul 5, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 10°C on July 6?$15.34Jul 5, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 6?$15.24Jul 5, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 6?$15.20Jul 5, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - July 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET$1.54Jul 5, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - July 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET$0.24Jul 5, 00:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
46/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 18 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
18 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $5.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 3, 20:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 7, 09:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.