Clumsy-Equal
0x3e145920d94a859b6082308b11cd5108bb0304a3
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-888.76
Realised
$12.07
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
5000 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-350.00
- NO
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?
610 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-549.00
- YES
Will Taylor Swift say "Superbowl" on The Late Show on December 10?
56 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-0.43
- YES
Trove FDV above $5M one day after launch?
20 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-0.40
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Resolve" or "Hammer" during WEF Address on January 21?$3.51Jan 21, 22:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Ass" during WEF Address on January 21?$48.08Jan 21, 22:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Golden Age of America" during WEF Address on January 21?$76.66Jan 21, 22:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Intel" or "Nvidia" during WEF Address on January 21?$102.27Jan 21, 22:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Affordability" during WEF Address on January 21?$300.00Jan 21, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Affordability" during WEF Address on January 21?$296.10Jan 21, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Golden Age of America" during WEF Address on January 21?$75.97Jan 21, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Intel" or "Nvidia" during WEF Address on January 21?$2.26Jan 21, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Ass" during WEF Address on January 21?$46.83Jan 21, 17:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$422.10Jan 21, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$421.20Jan 21, 16:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$422.55Jan 21, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$420.30Jan 21, 16:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$419.98Jan 21, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$419.06Jan 21, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Resolve" or "Hammer" during WEF Address on January 21?$0.84Jan 21, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Intel" or "Nvidia" during WEF Address on January 21?$34.00Jan 21, 15:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$156.61Jan 21, 13:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$2.00Jan 21, 13:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$184.40Jan 21, 13:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $203.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 20, 19:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 21, 22:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.