Notable-Serum
0x3e2400cc6580c4af7a6561dc416eef78163c5ce1
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$100.10
Total PnL
$-21.21
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on June 3?
101 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$100.10
$0.10
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 28?
8310 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-8.31
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- PACERS
Pacers vs. Thunder
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- BORUSSIA DORTMUND
Spread: Borussia Dortmund (-1.5)
4 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- JAZZ
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)
4 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- CAVALIERS
Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)
4 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- HEAT
Spread: Spurs (-1.5)
3 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 8, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- GRIZZLIES
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)
2 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- PACERS
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on June 3?$100.02Jun 2, 04:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 30?$1.08Jun 2, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 30?$1.00Apr 29, 03:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 24°C on April 24?$1.30Apr 29, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 24°C on April 24?$1.00Apr 23, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 28?$8.31Mar 28, 13:22 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Thunder (-11.5)$1.92Mar 28, 13:18 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Timberwolves (-9.5)$2.08Mar 28, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?$1.00Dec 2, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Thunder (-11.5)$1.00Dec 2, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Timberwolves (-9.5)$1.00Dec 2, 13:19 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Cavaliers (-7.5)$1.85Dec 2, 13:13 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Suns (-4.5)$3.92Dec 2, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Hawks (-2.5)$2.00Nov 13, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Suns (-4.5)$2.00Nov 13, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Cavaliers (-7.5)$2.00Nov 13, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Grizzlies (-2.5)$1.00Oct 31, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Cavaliers (-7.5)$1.00Oct 31, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Hawks (-2.5)$1.00Oct 31, 13:47 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Magic (-6.5)$5.56Oct 31, 13:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $4.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 10, 17:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 04:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".