Frugal-Polarisation
0x3e27b4fc18d61173110f6edb21e107bc34819890
Quality score
98/100
Open positions
113
Open notional
$46.5K
Total PnL
$-4.5K
Realised
$1.6K
Win rate
85%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 113- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
15000 shares @ 92.1¢·now 99.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$14.9K
$1.1K
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
6014 shares @ 63.6¢·now 98.6¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$5.9K
$2.1K
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
5000 shares @ 61.6¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.6K
$1.5K
- YES
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?
4012 shares @ 96.4¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$3.9K
$2.90
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
2000 shares @ 84.5¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.9K
$180.00
- NO
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
2000 shares @ 93.1¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.9K
$-1.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
2700 shares @ 59.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.3K
$-336.47
- NO
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
2000 shares @ 68.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.2K
$-110.00
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?
1000 shares @ 94.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$989.50
$49.50
- NO
Netanyahu out by June 30?
1000 shares @ 88.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$945.00
$65.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.0616h ago
- TRADESELLFluent FDV above $300M one day after launch?$30.621d ago
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$1.7K1d ago
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$199.861d ago
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?$3.9K1d ago
- YIELD$0.072d ago
- YIELD$0.073d ago
- REWARD$1.214d ago
- YIELD$0.064d ago
- MAKER_REBATE$3.145d ago
- YIELD$0.065d ago
- REWARD$0.125d ago
- REWARD$2.195d ago
- TRADEBUYPharos FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?$67.485d ago
- TRADEBUYPharos FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?$36.015d ago
- TRADEBUYPharos FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?$131.995d ago
- TRADEBUYPharos FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?$170.005d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?$470.315d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?$282.355d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?$33.485d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $239.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 5d ago
- Last active
- 16h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.