Frugal-Polarisation
0x3e27b4fc18d61173110f6edb21e107bc34819890
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
94
Open notional
$14.1K
Total PnL
$-10.1K
Realised
$-403.44
Win rate
88%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 94- NO
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
3000 shares @ 87.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.8K
$165.00
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
2000 shares @ 84.5¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.0K
$295.00
- NO
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?
1625 shares @ 95.6¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.6K
$43.88
- NO
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
2000 shares @ 68.0¢·now 65.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.3K
$-60.00
- NO
Netanyahu out by June 30?
1000 shares @ 88.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$987.00
$107.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
2700 shares @ 59.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$850.44
$-741.44
- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
1000 shares @ 14.6¢·now 74.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$746.50
$600.50
- NO
Ink FDV above $2B one day after launch?
802 shares @ 92.4¢·now 82.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$657.48
$-83.20
- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
500 shares @ 69.8¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$437.50
$88.50
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
400 shares @ 84.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$330.00
$-6.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.16Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jun 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jun 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jun 10, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jun 9, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jun 8, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jun 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jun 6, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLGRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch?$388.14Jun 5, 18:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jun 5, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$1.6KJun 4, 00:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jun 4, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.19Jun 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jun 2, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMOver $20M committed to the Printr public sale?$1.9KJun 1, 12:13 UTC
- REDEEMOver $30M committed to the Printr public sale?$791.83Jun 1, 12:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?$500.00Jun 1, 12:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $3,000 in May?$500.00Jun 1, 12:06 UTC
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$2.0KJun 1, 08:25 UTC
- REDEEMUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$10.0KJun 1, 06:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $558.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 14:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.