Cuddly-Auction
0x3e287751e34e1e87ea6398ff9b423061ee0d4983
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$354.40
Total PnL
$-2.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in San Francisco City and County?
23 shares @ 65.1¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$22.82
$7.82
- YES
Will Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in San Francisco City and County?
23 shares @ 64.0¢·now 96.8¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$22.69
$7.69
- YES
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in Santa Clara County?
21 shares @ 70.0¢·now 96.7¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$20.72
$5.72
- NO
Will Lindsey Graham win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate Primary by 30–40%?
20 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$19.73
$4.73
- NO
Will Xavier Becerra win the 2026 California Governor Primary Election by 5–10%?
19 shares @ 77.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$19.18
$4.18
- NO
Will Lindsey Graham win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate Primary by 10–20%?
19 shares @ 79.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$18.87
$3.87
- NO
Will Spencer Pratt win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election?
18 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$18.28
$3.28
- NO
Will Safepoint's market cap be between $900M and $1.1B at market close on IPO day?
17 shares @ 88.0¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$16.84
$1.84
- NO
Will Lindsey Graham win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate Primary by 40–50%?
16 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$16.48
$1.48
- NO
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%?
16 shares @ 94.9¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$15.75
$0.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 20?$5.65Jun 20, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on June 20?$10.01Jun 20, 11:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on June 19?$10.32Jun 20, 05:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on June 19?$10.11Jun 20, 05:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above 63,600 on June 20, 1AM ET?$16.30Jun 20, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?$10.23Jun 20, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above 63,600 on June 20, 1AM ET?$15.08Jun 20, 04:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brazil win on 2026-06-19?$10.99Jun 20, 02:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be at least 450k?$10.22Jun 20, 01:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?$10.14Jun 20, 01:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 20, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 58.5 and 59 million views in week 1?$10.01Jun 19, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Hydration Break" 5+ times during the USA vs Australia FIFA World Cup Match?$10.01Jun 19, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 58 and 58.5 million views in week 1?$10.00Jun 19, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Golden Boot" during the USA vs Australia FIFA World Cup Match?$10.01Jun 19, 22:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 19?$10.35Jun 19, 16:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 19?$10.24Jun 19, 16:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above 63,400 on June 19, 11AM ET?$15.79Jun 19, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 19?$10.02Jun 19, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 19?$10.02Jun 19, 14:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $9.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 18:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 20, 11:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.