Meager-Chuck
0x3e28c2670838df912ba3704f6656b7bd3508c4ee
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-591.85
Realised
$-0.41
Win rate
50%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Club Nacional de Football win on 2026-05-20?
94 shares @ 54.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-51.00
- YES
Will Ivory Coast record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
85 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
58 shares @ 85.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-22?
42 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-14.71
- YES
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?
42 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Club Nacional de Football win on 2026-05-06?
40 shares @ 12.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-02?
32 shares @ 27.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Julián Álvarez: 2+ goals
29 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-05-19?
28 shares @ 53.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET$1.63Jul 28, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET$1.05Jul 28, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$1.02Jul 28, 22:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$2.04Jul 28, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$1.04Jul 28, 20:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$2.04Jul 28, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$1.04Jul 28, 18:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$1.56Jul 28, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$1.03Jul 28, 16:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$1.96Jul 28, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$1.03Jul 28, 14:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$1.14Jul 28, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$1.01Jul 28, 14:29 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$1.33Jul 28, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$1.04Jul 28, 14:25 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$2.08Jul 28, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$1.04Jul 28, 14:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$1.19Jul 28, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$1.01Jul 28, 13:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$1.67Jul 28, 12:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
31/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $1.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 25, 21:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 22:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.