Awful-Coincidence
0x3e2c27b99d40b70648f5a95956dfac971fab4a08
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$8.77
Total PnL
$-2.63
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
4 shares @ 97.0¢·now 94.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.91
$-0.09
- YES
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?
3 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.81
$0.01
- NO
Will Iran strike Burj Khalifa by April 30?
2 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$2.04
$0.04
- HAWKS
Spread: Celtics (-5.5)
11 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$0.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on January 31?
3 shares @ 98.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Burj Khalifa by April 30?$2.00Apr 4, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$4.00Apr 4, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Celtics (-5.5)$5.94Mar 27, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on January 31?$2.60Jan 31, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 1 day or more?$2.80Jan 31, 10:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 5
- Avg trade size
- $3.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 31, 10:14 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 4, 13:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.