Exotic-Smith
0x3e2d48e151a8cdc8816ecd8f5acd088752a0cf0c
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$23.99
Total PnL
$2.72
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
7 shares @ 70.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$6.53
$1.91
- YES
Yoon arrested by July 15?
6 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2025$5.72
$1.43
- NO
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 1-7?
5 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2025$5.05
$1.87
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
4 shares @ 46.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$4.22
$2.28
- NO
Will PSG win the FIFA Club World Cup?
2 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$2.48
$0.67
- YES
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the AFC West?
6 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-3.32
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
4 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
4 shares @ 28.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$1.94Jul 16, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$4.62Jul 16, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.01Jul 16, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 1-7?$3.18Jul 7, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYYoon arrested by July 15?$4.29Jul 7, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the FIFA Club World Cup?$1.81Jul 3, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.10Jul 3, 13:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $109K on June 10?$0.00Jun 26, 12:08 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strike on Iranian nuclear facility before July?$6.39Jun 26, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Iranian nuclear facility before July?$1.47Jun 11, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $109K on June 10?$1.39Jun 10, 11:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?$0.00May 29, 16:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid win La Liga?$2.92May 29, 16:52 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum above $2,500 on May 16?$3.20May 29, 16:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sweden win Eurovision 2025?$3.69May 29, 16:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?$4.88May 29, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $2,500 on May 16?$1.57May 12, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win Eurovision 2025?$1.81May 12, 16:13 UTC
- REDEEMNBA Playoffs: Rockets vs. Warriors (To Advance)$0.00May 11, 07:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Aryna Sabalenka win the 2025 Women's Madrid Open?$0.00May 11, 07:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $4.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 28, 13:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 18:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".