Original-Adulthood
0x3e4b50a84decae79155a08d134f638595abd771b
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.73
Total PnL
$-131.12
Realised
$4.18
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
3 shares @ 34.0¢·now 23.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.68
$-0.32
- YES
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
77 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.58
$-0.42
- YES
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.47
$-0.53
- YES
Lighter Airdrop on December 24?
100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?
100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Lighter Airdrop on December 31?
100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?
100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
No airdrop in 2025?
100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?
100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?
100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-0.10
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$0.14May 20, 02:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$0.54May 20, 02:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$1.75Mar 1, 03:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.71Feb 19, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Lakers (-6.5)$1.00Feb 12, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)$1.00Feb 12, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Thunder (-13.5)$1.00Feb 12, 12:38 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Thunder (-7.5)$1.92Feb 12, 08:44 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Cavaliers (-17.5)$1.92Feb 12, 08:44 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Jazz (-6.5)$2.04Feb 12, 08:44 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Nuggets (-13.5)$2.04Feb 12, 08:44 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Nets (-4.5)$2.04Feb 12, 08:44 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Spurs (-7.5)$2.13Feb 12, 08:44 UTC
- REDEEMKnicks vs. 76ers$2.17Feb 12, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spurs (-7.5)$1.00Feb 12, 01:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$0.69Feb 12, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Jazz (-6.5)$1.00Feb 12, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Nuggets (-13.5)$1.00Feb 12, 01:37 UTC
- TRADESELLKraken IPO by March 31, 2026?$0.33Feb 12, 01:28 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$0.25Feb 12, 01:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $0.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 10, 01:52 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 02:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.