Virtual-Epoxy
0x3e52036c257154c202609ab5234a503713e175a2
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$15.05
Total PnL
$-0.79
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump meet with Lula da Silva in 2025?
10 shares @ 39.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.00
$6.10
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
10 shares @ 88.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$5.05
$-3.75
- YES
Will Davis Thompson win the 2025 PGA TOUR John Deere Classic?
20 shares @ 11.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2025$0.00
$-2.34
- YES
Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2025?
10 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Davis Thompson win the 2025 PGA TOUR John Deere Classic?$2.34Jul 6, 19:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netherlands win Eurovision 2025?$0.00Jun 22, 21:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel win Eurovision 2025?$0.00Jun 22, 21:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ukraine win Eurovision 2025?$0.00Jun 22, 21:57 UTC
- REDEEMUS military action against Iran by Monday?$30.00Jun 22, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS military action against Iran by Monday?$5.70Jun 20, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$8.80May 15, 21:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Siversk before May?$0.00May 3, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2025?$0.40Apr 26, 18:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the AfD win between 22% and 24% of the vote in the German election?$0.00Mar 18, 13:05 UTC
- REDEEMBSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election? $0.00Mar 18, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2025?$0.80Mar 16, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine win Eurovision 2025?$0.30Mar 15, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Siversk before May?$0.90Mar 11, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win Eurovision 2025?$0.72Mar 9, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Lula da Silva in 2025?$3.90Mar 9, 19:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump say "Moon" during Crypto Summit on Friday?$0.00Mar 9, 18:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump say "Pump" during Crypto Summit on Friday?$0.00Mar 9, 18:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump say "Ulbricht" during Crypto Summit on Friday?$9.94Mar 7, 21:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump say "China" during Crypto Summit on Friday?$19.90Mar 7, 21:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $9.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 19, 20:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 6, 19:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.