Bowed-Naturalisation
0x3e57fc4909cb24d9862c10a38410e5184c9f955c
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$8.62
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will Kinetiq reach $1 before 2027?
10 shares @ 68.0¢·now 86.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$8.62
$1.82
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 26, 8PM ET
2011 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
XRP Up or Down - January 18, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
30 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-14.70
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - February 15, 12AM ET
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- MAGIC
Hornets vs. Magic
12 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-7.80
- TRAKTOR
KHL: Traktor vs. Ak Bars Kazan
10 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.80
- UP
Solana Up or Down - February 16, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
10 shares @ 14.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.49
- UP
XRP Up or Down - March 8, 5:00AM-9:00AM ET
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 18, 10AM ET
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 10, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$5.00Mar 10, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 9, 1:00AM-5:00AM ET$4.70Mar 9, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - March 8, 5:00AM-9:00AM ET$5.00Mar 8, 07:40 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - March 6, 5AM ET$9.84Mar 8, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - March 6, 5AM ET$5.00Mar 6, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$5.00Mar 5, 01:57 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - March 2, 11PM ET$10.00Mar 5, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 2, 11PM ET$5.00Mar 3, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYAntalya 2: Mayar Sherif vs Katarzyna Kawa$8.00Mar 2, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYKHL: Traktor vs. Ak Bars Kazan$4.80Mar 1, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - February 27, 5AM ET$5.00Feb 27, 08:32 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - February 21, 11PM ET$18.1KFeb 22, 06:09 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - February 20, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$9.84Feb 22, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - February 21, 11PM ET$9.0KFeb 22, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - February 20, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$5.00Feb 21, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - February 19, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET$5.00Feb 19, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 18, 10AM ET$5.00Feb 18, 13:53 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - February 17, 2AM ET$10.00Feb 18, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - February 17, 2AM ET$5.00Feb 17, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?$1.78Feb 17, 06:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $351.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 17, 15:59 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 10, 05:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.