Inferior-Autoimmunity
0x3e58641210a528cce1f9ea44790657aa1ef693e0
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
51
Open notional
$20.09
Total PnL
$-58.28
Realised
$0.13
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
182 shares @ 2.2¢·now 2.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.82
$0.82
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on June 21?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$3.25
$2.25
- YES
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
554 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.04
$-0.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on June 21?
24 shares @ 6.3¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$2.04
$0.54
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 21?
50 shares @ 3.0¢·now 2.9¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$1.47
$-0.03
- YES
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
167 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.25
$-0.75
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 22?
13 shares @ 5.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.99
$0.33
- YES
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.90
$-0.10
- YES
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.78
$-0.23
- YES
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 22?$0.25Jun 20, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 22?$0.25Jun 20, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 21?$1.35Jun 20, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 21?$0.15Jun 20, 14:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on June 20?$1.00Jun 20, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on June 20?$1.05Jun 20, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 22?$0.16Jun 20, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 21?$0.25Jun 20, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 21?$0.25Jun 20, 08:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill United States win on 2026-06-19? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? AND Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?$9.10Jun 20, 02:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 20, 00:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 17?$0.00Jun 19, 23:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on June 17?$0.00Jun 19, 23:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on June 17?$0.00Jun 19, 23:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on June 17?$0.00Jun 19, 23:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on June 19?$0.00Jun 19, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 21?$0.01Jun 19, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on June 20?$1.04Jun 19, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-19? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? AND Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?$3.06Jun 19, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on June 21?$1.00Jun 19, 08:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $1.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 16, 12:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 20, 15:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.