Partial-Disagreement
0x3e5c3b33eeb30ca6d0a252b2c853228c3674e1dd
Wallet digest
Activity score
37/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.18
Total PnL
$-131.24
Realised
$-16.69
Win rate
17%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
75 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.11
$-0.26
- YES
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
130 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.07
$-0.97
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
208 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.33
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
110 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
105 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
99 shares @ 65.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-65.28
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
74 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
73 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$1.08Nov 19, 23:58 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$3.70Nov 19, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 16, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$2.00Nov 17, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 16, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$1.00Nov 17, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 16, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$1.00Nov 17, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 16, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$1.00Nov 17, 00:30 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - November 16, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$1.58Nov 16, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 16, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$1.00Nov 16, 23:49 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - November 16, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$0.67Nov 16, 23:05 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - November 16, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$0.67Nov 16, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 16, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$1.00Nov 16, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 16, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$1.00Nov 16, 23:02 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - November 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$0.51Nov 16, 22:54 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - November 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$0.42Nov 16, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$1.00Nov 16, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$1.00Nov 16, 22:48 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - November 16, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$2.27Nov 16, 22:41 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - November 16, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$0.73Nov 16, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 16, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$1.00Nov 16, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 16, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$1.00Nov 16, 22:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $1.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 4, 11:03 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 19, 23:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".