Old-Proposition
0x3e6be15760eeab74c768b9c6f08b12ff36d03259
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-132.75
Realised
$0.80
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 in November?
250 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2024$0.00
$-6.25
- YES
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?
133 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in November?
100 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2024$0.00
$-5.20
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November?
100 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2024$0.00
$-1.60
- YES
Will the election be called on Nov 5?
90 shares @ 54.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-49.00
- YES
Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?
85 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-10.99
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?
50 shares @ 11.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2024$0.00
$-5.85
- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?
40 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2024$0.00
$-18.40
- NO
Will Trump say "Pennsylvania" in his speech after the election is called?
11 shares @ 76.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2024$0.00
$-8.18
- YES
Will Trump say "Victory" three or more times in his speech after the election is called?
10 shares @ 89.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2024$0.00
$-8.90
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the top AI model on March 31?$1.00Mar 16, 18:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?$14.71Mar 16, 18:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?$2.69Feb 5, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?$3.00Jan 23, 23:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 in December?$10.00Jan 23, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?$7.99Jan 23, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?$10.00Jan 23, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win the most seats in the next German election?$10.00Jan 23, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 in December?$8.70Dec 5, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?$5.85Nov 21, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $140,000 in November?$6.25Nov 21, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 in November?$5.20Nov 21, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November?$1.60Nov 21, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $100k in November?$3.50Nov 21, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $100k in November?$9.50Nov 20, 09:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Rig" or "Rigged" in his speech after the election is called?$14.29Nov 16, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "McDonald's" during his inauguration speech?$0.44Nov 16, 20:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "We Won" in his speech after the election is called?$40.00Nov 16, 20:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Pennsylvania" in his speech after the election is called?$9.59Nov 15, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $100k in November?$5.40Nov 13, 15:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $10.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 5, 19:22 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 16, 18:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".