Fat-Winery
0x3e7641f562ac9193a29f2af006d6d1e7b3b22740
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-62.96
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 23?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 14?
289 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 20?
111 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 22?
42 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 30?
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 20?
27 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 14?
27 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 15?
16 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$1.00Feb 3, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 3?$1.00Feb 3, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$2.00Feb 3, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYPelicans vs. Hornets$2.00Feb 2, 21:27 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 2?$3.22Feb 2, 21:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on February 2?$1.61Feb 2, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on February 2?$1.00Feb 2, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 2?$1.00Feb 2, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2?$1.00Feb 2, 13:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-01-31?$1.47Feb 2, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-31?$1.00Jan 31, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-01-31?$1.00Jan 31, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on January 30?$1.00Jan 30, 15:06 UTC
- REDEEMEUR/USD Up or Down on January 29?$2.04Jan 30, 13:52 UTC
- REDEEMKings vs. 76ers$3.08Jan 30, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYKings vs. 76ers$2.00Jan 30, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 29?$1.00Jan 29, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYEUR/USD Up or Down on January 29?$1.00Jan 29, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on January 28?$1.00Jan 28, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 28?$1.00Jan 28, 12:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $1.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 14, 15:10 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 3, 16:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.